Serie A
Match Analysis
Vitoria
Gremio
Vitoria
W
L
L
L
D
W
Gremio
L
W
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | Vitoria | 2 - 0 | March 19, 2026 |
| Gremio | Vitoria | 3 - 1 | September 28, 2025 |
| Vitoria | Gremio | 1 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| Vitoria | Gremio | 1 - 1 | December 4, 2024 |
| Gremio | Vitoria | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2024 |
| Vitoria | Gremio | 0 - 0 | November 25, 2018 |
Vitoria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Palmeiras | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | remo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Botafogo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | Win |
Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atletico-MG | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sao Paulo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Bolívar | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Fluminense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Bolívar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Mirassol | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.87% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Vitoria to win
This prediction indicates that Vitoria has a 43.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.39 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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