York vs Barnsley Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

York Barnsley

York D W W W W W

Barnsley L W L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Barnsley	York	3 - 2	November 1, 2025
York	Barnsley	2 - 2	July 22, 2025
Barnsley	York	2 - 1	November 10, 2015
Barnsley	York	2 - 0	September 2, 2014

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Rochdale	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Tamworth	0 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Altrincham	2 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Boston United	0 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Woking	1 - 0	Win

Barnsley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Stockport County	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Away	Northampton	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Luton	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	Stevenage	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Bradford	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 14, 26	Away	Port Vale	0 - 0	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	York	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.61% likelihood that both York and Barnsley will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

York to win

This prediction indicates that York has a 48.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.79 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs