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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Zrinjski Čelik
Zrinjski D L W W W W
Čelik W D D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Zrinjski is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, with a clear quality gap favoring the home team. Despite both teams showing strong recent form and Zrinjski's history of tight, dominant matches against Čelik, the model predicts a home win with a 71% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a slight edge toward 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, aligning closely with the balanced market view for these markets.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Čelik Zrinjski 0 - 2 February 23, 2020
Zrinjski Čelik 3 - 0 September 22, 2019
Čelik Zrinjski 0 - 1 May 11, 2019
Zrinjski Čelik 3 - 0 October 27, 2018
Čelik Zrinjski 1 - 0 August 12, 2018
Čelik Zrinjski 1 - 3 December 9, 2017

Zrinjski Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 30, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Posušje 3 - 1 Win
Jul 16, 26 Home Arsenal Tivat 6 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Siroki Brijeg 0 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home FK Sarajevo 2 - 1 Win

Čelik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Zvijezda 09 4 - 0 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Zvijezda Gradačac 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away GOŠK Gabela 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Igman Konjic 4 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Home Radnik Hadžići 3 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Tuzla City 1 - 2 Win

Premijer Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Čelik 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Zrinjski 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Zrinjski to win
This prediction indicates that Zrinjski has a 70.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.45 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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