Zwaluwen vs Purmersteijn Tuesday 22nd September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

KNVB Beker

Zwaluwen

Sept. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Purmersteijn

Match Analysis

Zwaluwen Purmersteijn

Zwaluwen W D W L L L

Purmersteijn W L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Zwaluwen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 26	Away	Lierop	0 - 7	Win
Sep 2, 25	Home	URK	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 25	Away	Katwijk	1 - 2	Win
Jul 26, 25	Home	Excelsior Maassluis	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 22	Home	Den Bosch	0 - 10	Loss
Sep 19, 17	Home	Den Bosch	2 - 3	Loss

Purmersteijn Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 26	Home	Zwaluw VFC	4 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 25	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 7	Loss
Aug 12, 23	Home	Sportlust '46	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 23	Home	ADO '20	2 - 1	Win
Aug 19, 17	Away	Sparta Nijkerk	3 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.72% likelihood that both Zwaluwen and Purmersteijn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Zwaluwen to win

This prediction indicates that Zwaluwen has a 51.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.92 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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