Al Faisaly vs Al-Nahda Wednesday 14th October 2026 09:15 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 14, 2026 15 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Al Faisaly Al-Nahda
Al Faisaly L L W W L D
Al-Nahda D D L D D W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Al Faisaly and Al-Nahda are showing poor recent form, and the two sides are closely matched in overall quality. Given this context, the model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, suggesting a slight edge to Al Faisaly despite the lack of strong form from either team. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (51% probability) and that the match will have more than 1.5 goals (57% probability) and more than 2.5 goals (52% probability). Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' current situations.

Al Faisaly Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 16, 26 Away Al-Rayyan SC 4 - 3 Loss
May 27, 21 Home Al Kuwait 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 21 Home Tishreen 1 - 0 Win
May 21, 21 Away Shabab Al Am'ari 0 - 2 Win
Feb 24, 20 Away Al Ansar 4 - 3 Loss
Feb 10, 20 Home Wathba 0 - 0 Draw

Al-Nahda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 16, 26 Home Al Taawon 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 23, 24 Home Al Ahed 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 16, 24 Away Al Ahed 1 - 0 Loss
Feb 19, 24 Home Al Riffa 1 - 1 Draw
Feb 12, 24 Away Al Riffa 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 27, 23 Home Al Ahed 2 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.72% likelihood that both Al Faisaly and Al-Nahda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Al Faisaly to win
This prediction indicates that Al Faisaly has a 41.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.31 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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