Al-Jazira vs Arkadag Wednesday 14th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Al-Jazira logo Al-Jazira View team ›
Oct. 14, 2026 13 hours from now VS
Arkadag logo Arkadag View team ›

Match Analysis

Al-Jazira Arkadag
Al-Jazira D D W W L L
Arkadag W W L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Al-Jazira have shown strong attacking form recently, giving them a slight edge in this match. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is a modest advantage given the even nature of the contest. There are no market odds available for direct comparison, but the model's confidence in Al-Jazira winning is not overwhelming, reflecting the closely matched status of the teams. Both teams are also showing moderate recent form and have similar rest, further supporting the narrow margin in the prediction.

Al-Jazira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 15, 26 Away Gol Gohar 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home St. Truiden 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Vitesse 1 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 Win
Jul 27, 25 Away Almeria 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 24 Away Malaga 1 - 0 Loss

Arkadag Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 15, 26 Home Muharraq 1 - 0 Win
Aug 12, 26 Home Goa 3 - 0 Win
Feb 18, 26 Away Al-Nassr 1 - 0 Loss
Feb 11, 26 Home Al-Nassr 0 - 1 Loss
Jan 31, 26 Away Neftchi 1 - 2 Win
Jan 30, 26 Away Makhachkala 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Al-Jazira to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Al-Jazira has a 38.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.90 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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