Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul Wednesday 14th October 2026 10:45 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Match Analysis

Melbourne Victory FC Seoul
Melbourne Victory D L W D D L
FC Seoul W L L W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Melbourne Victory with a 37% probability. Despite FC Seoul having a clear quality advantage, Melbourne Victory's notable rest advantage and the moderate recent form of both teams influences the prediction. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (54%) and that there will be more than one goal in the game (54% over 1.5 goals), reflecting an expectation of an open match despite the quality gap favoring FC Seoul. There are no market odds available to compare against these predictions.

Melbourne Victory Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 16, 26 Away Viettel 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Sydney 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Western Sydney Wanderers 0 - 2 Win
Apr 17, 26 Home Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Away Auckland 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 5, 26 Home Wellington Phoenix 0 - 1 Loss

FC Seoul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Jeju United FC 2 - 1 Win
Sep 20, 26 Away Pohang Steelers 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 16, 26 Home Persib Bandung 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Jeonbuk Motors 1 - 2 Win
Sep 8, 26 Away Ulsan Hyundai FC 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Incheon United 1 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that both Melbourne Victory and FC Seoul will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Melbourne Victory or FC Seoul to win
This prediction indicates that Melbourne Victory has a 37.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.26 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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