Alverca vs Estoril Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Alverca Estoril

Alverca L D L W L W

Estoril L D D L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Alverca	Estoril	1 - 1	May 10, 2026
Estoril	Alverca	4 - 1	December 27, 2025
Estoril	Alverca	1 - 2	July 19, 2025

Alverca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Famalicao	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Estoril	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	FC Porto	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Arouca	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Nacional	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Casa Pia	3 - 1	Win

Estoril Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Benfica	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Alverca	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	SC Braga	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Famalicao	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 20, 26	Away	Moreirense	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	FC Porto	1 - 3	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.92% likelihood that both Alverca and Estoril will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Alverca to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Alverca has a 36.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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