Atlas vs Necaxa Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Atlas Necaxa

Atlas L L W D W D

Necaxa W L D D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Necaxa	Atlas	0 - 1	January 17, 2026
Atlas	Necaxa	5 - 3	December 30, 2025
Atlas	Necaxa	3 - 2	September 27, 2025
Atlas	Necaxa	0 - 4	February 19, 2025
Atlas	Necaxa	1 - 2	December 23, 2024
Necaxa	Atlas	0 - 0	November 10, 2024

Atlas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 10, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Cruz Azul	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Club America	0 - 1	Win
Apr 23, 26	Home	Tigres UANL	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Santos Laguna	0 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Monterrey	0 - 0	Draw

Necaxa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Monarcas	1 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 23, 26	Home	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Tigres UANL	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Club Queretaro	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Home	Mazatlán	2 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
676	Necaxa	2	2	0	0	3	1	+2	6
1560	Atlas	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.51% likelihood that both Atlas and Necaxa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Necaxa to win

This prediction indicates that Necaxa has a 43.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.41 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs