Auxerre vs Chateauroux Tuesday 21st July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Auxerre Chateauroux

Auxerre W W W L D D

Chateauroux D W W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Auxerre	Chateauroux	4 - 1	January 16, 2021
Chateauroux	Auxerre	1 - 2	August 29, 2020
Chateauroux	Auxerre	1 - 0	November 1, 2019
Auxerre	Chateauroux	1 - 2	May 3, 2019
Chateauroux	Auxerre	0 - 0	December 14, 2018
Chateauroux	Auxerre	1 - 2	April 27, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Lille	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Nice	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Angers	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Lyon	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Monaco	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Nantes	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 15, 26	Away	Valenciennes	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Sochaux	2 - 1	Win
Apr 30, 26	Away	Dijon	1 - 2	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Fleury 91	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Versailles	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 10, 26	Home	Quevilly	3 - 5	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1762	Chateauroux	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1762	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Auxerre has a 69.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.05 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 72.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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