FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Kaiserslautern Friday 17th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 FC Kaiserslautern

FSV Mainz 05 W L W L D L

FC Kaiserslautern W W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Kaiserslautern	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 0	August 10, 2019
FSV Mainz 05	FC Kaiserslautern	4 - 0	February 25, 2012
FC Kaiserslautern	FSV Mainz 05	3 - 1	September 17, 2011
FC Kaiserslautern	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 1	January 29, 2011
FSV Mainz 05	FC Kaiserslautern	2 - 1	September 12, 2010

FSV Mainz 05 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	FC Heidenheim	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Union Berlin	1 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	FC St. Pauli	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Bayern München	3 - 4	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Borussia Monchengladbach	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 16, 26	Away	Strasbourg	4 - 0	Loss

FC Kaiserslautern Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	1. FC Magdeburg	0 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Arminia Bielefeld	2 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Dynamo Dresden	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Home	Eintracht Braunschweig	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Holstein Kiel	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Hertha BSC	0 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1036	FC Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
1676	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that both FSV Mainz 05 and FC Kaiserslautern will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Kaiserslautern to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Kaiserslautern has a 35.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.77 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs