Benfica vs Villarreal Friday 17th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Benfica Villarreal

Benfica W D D W W W

Villarreal W L L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Benfica	Villarreal	3 - 1	July 21, 2024

Benfica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Estoril	1 - 3	Win
May 11, 26	Home	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Famalicao	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Moreirense	4 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Sporting CP	1 - 2	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Nacional	2 - 0	Win

Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Atletico Madrid	5 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Rayo Vallecano	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Sevilla	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Mallorca	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Levante	5 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Celta Vigo	2 - 1	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1676	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1676	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.89% likelihood that both Benfica and Villarreal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Benfica to win

This prediction indicates that Benfica has a 49.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs