Jong AZ vs Jong Ajax Friday 17th July 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Jong AZ Jong Ajax

Jong AZ D W L L L W

Jong Ajax L W L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Jong AZ	Jong Ajax	1 - 2	January 12, 2026
Jong Ajax	Jong AZ	4 - 1	August 18, 2025
Jong AZ	Jong Ajax	2 - 1	January 13, 2025
Jong Ajax	Jong AZ	1 - 2	September 17, 2024
Jong Ajax	Jong AZ	1 - 4	May 10, 2024
Jong AZ	Jong Ajax	5 - 2	September 18, 2023

Jong AZ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Waalwijk	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Home	Roda	2 - 0	Win
Apr 17, 26	Away	Willem II	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 13, 26	Home	Jong PSV	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	De Graafschap	5 - 0	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	Helmond Sport	2 - 0	Win

Jong Ajax Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 24, 26	Home	Jong Utrecht	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Away	Jong PSV	0 - 1	Win
Apr 13, 26	Home	FC OSS	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Vitesse	6 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	ADO Den Haag	4 - 2	Loss
Mar 20, 26	Home	Almere City FC	0 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.51% likelihood that both Jong AZ and Jong Ajax will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Jong AZ to win

This prediction indicates that Jong AZ has a 54.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.44 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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