FC Lugano vs FC Vaduz Friday 17th July 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Lugano FC Vaduz

FC Lugano W W D L W W

FC Vaduz W W L W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	3 - 0	January 15, 2022
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	0 - 2	May 8, 2021
FC Vaduz	FC Lugano	0 - 3	March 14, 2021
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	1 - 1	February 3, 2021
FC Vaduz	FC Lugano	1 - 1	October 17, 2020
FC Lugano	FC Vaduz	2 - 1	May 20, 2017

FC Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	4 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	FC Sion	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	BSC Young Boys	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	FC Thun	0 - 1	Win

FC Vaduz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	SC Kriens	1 - 2	Win
May 15, 26	Away	FC WIL 1900	1 - 3	Win
May 11, 26	Home	FC Aarau	1 - 2	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Étoile Carouge	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Away	Stade Nyonnais	1 - 3	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
390	FC Vaduz	3	3	0	0	9	4	+5	9
1325	FC Lugano	4	1	0	3	6	10	-4	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that both FC Lugano and FC Vaduz will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Score 2 - 2

This prediction indicates that FC Lugano will score 2 goals, and FC Vaduz will score 2 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs