Bury Town vs AFC Sudbury Saturday 01st August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bury Town AFC Sudbury

Bury Town W D D W W W

AFC Sudbury L W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bury Town	AFC Sudbury	1 - 0	July 30, 2024
Bury Town	AFC Sudbury	0 - 3	September 3, 2022

Bury Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Mildenhall Town	1 - 4	Win
Sep 17, 25	Away	Woodford Town	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 13, 25	Home	Woodford Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Brightlingsea Regent	2 - 3	Win
Aug 2, 25	Home	Felixstowe & Walton Utd	2 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 25	Away	Walsham Le Willows	1 - 4	Win

AFC Sudbury Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 13, 25	Home	Aveley	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 25	Home	Mildenhall Town	4 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 25	Home	Braintree	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	AFC Dunstable	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Bury Town	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 24	Home	Chelmsford City	3 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that both Bury Town and AFC Sudbury will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bury Town to win

This prediction indicates that Bury Town has a 49.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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