Castellón vs Sabadell Saturday 18th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Castellón Sabadell

Castellón L D W W D D

Sabadell W L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sabadell	Castellón	3 - 1	April 16, 2023
Castellón	Sabadell	3 - 1	September 4, 2022
Sabadell	Castellón	1 - 3	March 12, 2022
Castellón	Sabadell	0 - 1	December 19, 2021
Castellón	Sabadell	2 - 1	March 13, 2021
Sabadell	Castellón	1 - 1	December 19, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Almeria	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Almeria	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Eibar	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Huesca	0 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Cadiz	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Home	Zamora	4 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Zamora	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Real Madrid II	3 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Real Madrid II	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Tarazona	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Antequera	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Castellón has a 58.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.59 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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