Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Cesena
Fossombrone
Cesena
W
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Cesena Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Carpi | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Away | Carrarese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Sampdoria | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Juve Stabia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Cesena to win
This prediction indicates that Cesena has a 53.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.39 %Friendlies Clubs
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