Cruzeiro vs Defensor Sporting Saturday 04th July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Cruzeiro Defensor Sporting

Cruzeiro D W W D D W

Defensor Sporting D D L L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	4 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	2 - 1	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Boca Juniors	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Palmeiras	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Bahia	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Boston River	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Central Espanol	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Juventud	1 - 2	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Defensor Sporting	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 62.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cruzeiro has a 49.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.17 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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