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Challenge Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cumbernauld Colts Kelty Hearts
Cumbernauld Colts L L L W L L
Kelty Hearts W L W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Cumbernauld Colts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Queen of the South 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Clydebank 2 - 0 Loss
Oct 25, 25 Home Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 26, 25 Home Glasgow University 4 - 0 Win
Sep 28, 24 Home Civil Service Strollers 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 24, 23 Away BSC Glasgow 3 - 1 Loss

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Dumbarton 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Elgin City 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Motherwell U21 4 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Stirling Albion 3 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Aberdeen 3 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Cumbernauld Colts or Kelty Hearts to win
This prediction indicates that Cumbernauld Colts has a 41.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.84 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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