Darlington 1883 vs Carlisle Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Darlington 1883 Carlisle

Darlington 1883 L D L W L L

Carlisle D W W W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Darlington 1883 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	AFC Telford United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Marine	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	South Shields	0 - 1	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 2	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Away	AFC Fylde	4 - 1	Loss

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 3, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Brackley Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Morecambe	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Gateshead	0 - 0	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1762	Carlisle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1762	Darlington 1883	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.62% likelihood that both Darlington 1883 and Carlisle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Carlisle to win

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 52.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.00 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs