Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Derby County U21
Carlisle
Carlisle
L
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Salford City | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Darlington 1883 | 2 - 4 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Brackley Town | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Truro City | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Sutton Utd | 3 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Carlisle to win
This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 48.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.96 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Friendlies Clubs
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