Dock Sud vs San Martín Burzaco Saturday 08th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Primera B Metropolitana

Dock Sud

Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

4 – 1

Full Time

San Martín Burzaco

Match Analysis

Dock Sud San Martín Burzaco

Dock Sud D D W D L W

San Martín Burzaco D L L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, San Martín Burzaco has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. However, the model predicts a home win for Dock Sud with a 38% probability, reflecting their moderate recent form compared to San Martín Burzaco's poor recent form. The model's confidence level is somewhat lower than what the market odds imply for a home victory. Additionally, the model sees the game as likely to end with fewer than 1.5 goals, aligning with the market's inclination towards a lower-scoring match.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Martín Burzaco	Dock Sud	1 - 1	March 29, 2026
Dock Sud	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 2	November 9, 2025
San Martín Burzaco	Dock Sud	4 - 2	June 14, 2025
Dock Sud	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 2	July 13, 2024
San Martín Burzaco	Dock Sud	1 - 0	February 27, 2024
San Martín Burzaco	Dock Sud	0 - 0	October 8, 2021

Dock Sud Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Liniers	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Real Pilar	0 - 1	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Excursionistas	3 - 1	Win

San Martín Burzaco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Deportivo Camioneros	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	1 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Liniers	1 - 1	Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	San Martín Burzaco	28	8	12	8	27	26	+1	36
15	Dock Sud	28	7	12	9	28	26	+2	33

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Dock Sud to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Dock Sud has a 37.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.23 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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