Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caerau (Ely) Tuesday 21st July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC Caerau (Ely)

Haverfordwest County AFC L W D W W W

Caerau (Ely) W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Haverfordwest County AFC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	0 - 4	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Penybont	2 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Barry Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	llanelli AFC	6 - 0	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Flint Town United	0 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Briton Ferry	1 - 0	Win

Caerau (Ely) Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Croesyceiliog AFC	5 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Home	Cardiff Corinthians	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Undy Athletic	2 - 0	Win

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
572	Caerau (Ely)	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2751	Haverfordwest County AFC	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.1% likelihood that both Haverfordwest County AFC and Caerau (Ely) will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Haverfordwest County AFC to win

This prediction indicates that Haverfordwest County AFC has a 56.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs