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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian L L L W L W
Dundee Utd D L W W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Heart Of Midlothian have had poor recent form, while Dundee Utd have shown moderate recent form. However, Heart Of Midlothian carries a clear quality gap in their favor and have dominated recent meetings between the two sides. The model predicts a home win with a 57% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of goals, expecting both teams to score and for the match to have over 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dundee Utd Heart Of Midlothian 0 - 3 January 31, 2026
Heart Of Midlothian Dundee Utd 1 - 1 November 9, 2025
Dundee Utd Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 3 August 10, 2025
Heart Of Midlothian Dundee Utd 0 - 1 April 6, 2025
Dundee Utd Heart Of Midlothian 0 - 1 January 5, 2025
Heart Of Midlothian Dundee Utd 0 - 1 September 1, 2024

Heart Of Midlothian Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Away Benfica 6 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Aberdeen 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Sturm Graz 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away Raith Rovers 0 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Sturm Graz 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Win

Dundee Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Rangers 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Salford City 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Spartans 4 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Arbroath 3 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Montrose 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Stirling Albion 0 - 1 Win

Premiership Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Heart Of Midlothian 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.46% likelihood that both Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Heart Of Midlothian to win
This prediction indicates that Heart Of Midlothian has a 56.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.53 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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