Hemel Hempstead Town vs Barnet Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town Barnet

Hemel Hempstead Town D D W W D L

Barnet W W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hemel Hempstead Town	Barnet	2 - 2	July 5, 2025
Hemel Hempstead Town	Barnet	1 - 3	July 20, 2024
Hemel Hempstead Town	Barnet	0 - 1	July 8, 2023
Hemel Hempstead Town	Barnet	0 - 2	July 9, 2022

Hemel Hempstead Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 28, 26	Home	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Salisbury	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Torquay	1 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Eastbourne Borough	3 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Enfield Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Chesham United	0 - 3	Loss

Barnet Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Hitchin Town	0 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Gillingham	6 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Notts County	1 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Barrow	3 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Away	Fleetwood Town	2 - 5	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.68% likelihood that both Hemel Hempstead Town and Barnet will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hemel Hempstead Town or Barnet to win

This prediction indicates that Barnet has a 39.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.78 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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