Hertha BSC vs Mamelodi Sundowns Tuesday 21st July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Hertha BSC Mamelodi Sundowns

Hertha BSC W W W L W L

Mamelodi Sundowns W D W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Hertha BSC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Lokomotive Leipzig	1 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Lichtenberg	0 - 9	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Frohnauer	0 - 15	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Arminia Bielefeld	6 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 0	Loss

Mamelodi Sundowns Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Home	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	FAR Rabat	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	FAR Rabat	1 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Away	TS Galaxy	3 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Siwelele	7 - 4	Win
May 6, 26	Away	Kaizer Chiefs	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.24% likelihood that both Hertha BSC and Mamelodi Sundowns will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Hertha BSC to win

This prediction indicates that Hertha BSC has a 40.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.60 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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