Inter Turku vs KuPS Sunday 11th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Veikkausliiga

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Inter Turku View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 16 hours ago

1 – 0

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KuPS View team ›

Match Analysis

Inter Turku KuPS

Inter Turku D W W L W L

KuPS L W D D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Inter Turku have been in strong recent form, while KuPS have struggled recently, suggesting an advantage for the home side. However, KuPS has a history of dominating recent meetings between these two teams, which adds some uncertainty. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is slightly more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests that both teams are unlikely to score and that the game will likely stay under 2.5 goals, views that differ somewhat from the market odds.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Inter Turku	KuPS	1 - 0	August 31, 2026
KuPS	Inter Turku	1 - 1	May 30, 2026
KuPS	Inter Turku	3 - 2	November 2, 2025
Inter Turku	KuPS	0 - 3	October 5, 2025
KuPS	Inter Turku	2 - 1	August 17, 2025
Inter Turku	KuPS	1 - 1	April 5, 2025

Inter Turku Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 7, 26	Away	Gnistan	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 18, 26	Away	AC Oulu	0 - 1	Win
Sep 14, 26	Home	VPS	1 - 0	Win
Sep 9, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	KuPS	1 - 0	Win
Aug 27, 26	Away	FC Copenhagen	4 - 1	Loss

KuPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 8, 26	Home	AC Oulu	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	VPS	0 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Away	Gnistan	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Inter Turku	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 27, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 0	Win

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32	18	+14	49
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41	25	+16	48

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Inter Turku to win

This prediction indicates that Inter Turku has a 48.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.12 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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