Premier League
Match Analysis
Kaspiy
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kaspiy
D
L
W
D
W
W
FK Tobol Kostanay
L
L
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kaspiy | 2 - 1 | April 26, 2026 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kaspiy | 1 - 1 | October 21, 2023 |
| Kaspiy | FK Tobol Kostanay | 0 - 1 | March 10, 2023 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kaspiy | 1 - 0 | June 19, 2022 |
| Kaspiy | FK Tobol Kostanay | 0 - 0 | March 11, 2022 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | Kaspiy | 2 - 1 | September 12, 2021 |
Kaspiy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Ulytau | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Irtysh | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Zhenys | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Kaisar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Ordabasy | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Atyrau | 1 - 2 | Win |
FK Tobol Kostanay Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | FK Partizan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | FK Partizan | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ordabasy | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Panevėžys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Atyrau | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Panevėžys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kaspiy | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
Predictions
FK Tobol Kostanay to win
This prediction indicates that FK Tobol Kostanay has a 41.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.72 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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