Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Kelty Hearts Dunfermline

Kelty Hearts L L W L L W

Dunfermline W L L L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dunfermline	Kelty Hearts	2 - 0	February 7, 2026
Dunfermline	Kelty Hearts	2 - 1	October 12, 2024
Dunfermline	Kelty Hearts	0 - 0	April 1, 2023
Kelty Hearts	Dunfermline	1 - 2	December 24, 2022
Dunfermline	Kelty Hearts	2 - 1	October 29, 2022
Kelty Hearts	Dunfermline	0 - 0	August 20, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Inverness CT	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Montrose	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	FC Botosani	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1204	Dunfermline	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
2738	Kelty Hearts	2	0	0	2	1	6	-5	0

This prediction indicates that Dunfermline has a 49.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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