Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn Sunday 11th October 2026 04:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Meistriliiga logo

Meistriliiga

View league ›
Kuressaare logo Kuressaare View team ›
Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 15 hours ago
2 – 0
Full Time
Flora Tallinn logo Flora Tallinn View team ›

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare D L L W D L
Flora Tallinn W W D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Kuressaare are coming off poor recent form and have had defensive problems, while Flora Tallinn are in strong form and have a clear quality advantage. Flora Tallinn have also tended to dominate past meetings, often with lots of goals. The model predicts an away win with a 56% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than one goal overall.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 2 - 3 August 16, 2026
Kuressaare Flora Tallinn 0 - 3 July 2, 2026
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 2 - 1 April 7, 2026
Flora Tallinn Kuressaare 2 - 0 November 1, 2025
Kuressaare Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 August 24, 2025
Kuressaare Flora Tallinn 1 - 3 May 27, 2025

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 18, 26 Away Laagri 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Home Tammeka 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 0 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Trans Narva 3 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Vaprus 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Tammeka 1 - 0 Loss

Flora Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Home Vaprus 3 - 2 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Nõmme United 2 - 3 Win
Sep 8, 26 Away Trans Narva 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 2 - 1 Win
Sep 2, 26 Away Tammeka 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Paide 1 - 2 Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Flora Tallinn 29 18 1 10 60 38 +22 55
9 Kuressaare 29 6 5 18 29 51 -22 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that both Kuressaare and Flora Tallinn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Flora Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 55.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.58 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Meistriliiga

Paide vs Tammeka 11 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Trans Narva vs Kuressaare 8 hours from now · 4 p.m. ›

Trending

Latest transfers

All transfers

From the blog

More from the blog