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Aug. 9, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 2
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Match Analysis

Paks Budapest Honved
Paks L D W L L L
Budapest Honved D D L W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Paks have a clear quality advantage over Budapest Honved, but this is tempered by Paks' poor recent form and Budapest Honved's moderate form and rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which reflects a balanced view given the mixed signals from recent performance and quality. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of goals, predicting both teams to score (61% chance) and both over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals (56% and 62% respectively), aligning with recent meetings that have tended to be high-scoring, despite no clear market odds to compare against.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Budapest Honved Paks 1 - 2 April 1, 2023
Paks Budapest Honved 5 - 0 November 6, 2022
Budapest Honved Paks 3 - 3 August 14, 2022
Budapest Honved Paks 1 - 1 April 2, 2022
Paks Budapest Honved 2 - 3 December 3, 2021
Budapest Honved Paks 3 - 1 August 21, 2021

Paks Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Zalaegerszegi TE 5 - 2 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Panathinaikos 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Ferencvarosi TC 4 - 2 Win
Jul 23, 26 Home Panathinaikos 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Austria Vienna 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Away NK Slaven Belupo 5 - 3 Loss

Budapest Honved Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home MTK Budapest 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Kisvarda FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away NK Osijek 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Monori Se 0 - 6 Win
Jul 8, 26 Home Soroksar 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Nafta 0 - 3 Win

NB I Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Paks 2 1 0 1 6 7 -1 3
10 Budapest Honved 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.75% likelihood that both Paks and Budapest Honved will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paks to win
This prediction indicates that Paks has a 50.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.18 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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