NB I
Paks have a clear quality advantage over Budapest Honved, but this is tempered by Paks' poor recent form and Budapest Honved's moderate form and rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 50% probability, which reflects a balanced view given the mixed signals from recent performance and quality. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of goals, predicting both teams to score (61% chance) and both over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals (56% and 62% respectively), aligning with recent meetings that have tended to be high-scoring, despite no clear market odds to compare against.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budapest Honved | Paks | 1 - 2 | April 1, 2023 |
| Paks | Budapest Honved | 5 - 0 | November 6, 2022 |
| Budapest Honved | Paks | 3 - 3 | August 14, 2022 |
| Budapest Honved | Paks | 1 - 1 | April 2, 2022 |
| Paks | Budapest Honved | 2 - 3 | December 3, 2021 |
| Budapest Honved | Paks | 3 - 1 | August 21, 2021 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Panathinaikos | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Panathinaikos | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Austria Vienna | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | NK Slaven Belupo | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | MTK Budapest | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Kisvarda FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | NK Osijek | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Monori Se | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Soroksar | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Nafta | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Paks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Budapest Honved | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Correct Prediction! ✅
Correct Prediction! ✅
Correct Prediction! ✅
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