Servette FC vs Étoile Carouge Saturday 11th July 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Servette FC Étoile Carouge

Servette FC W W D W W D

Étoile Carouge L D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Servette FC	Étoile Carouge	1 - 2	July 13, 2024

Servette FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	FC Zurich	0 - 2	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Lausanne	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	FC Luzern	3 - 3	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Grasshoppers	0 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC Winterthur	5 - 3	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	BSC Young Boys	1 - 1	Draw

Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	FC Sion	7 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Bellinzona	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Neuchatel Xamax FC	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	FC Vaduz	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Yverdon Sport	3 - 5	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	Rapperswil	2 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1302	Étoile Carouge	2	1	0	1	3	8	-5	3
1532	Servette FC	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.6% likelihood that both Servette FC and Étoile Carouge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Servette FC to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Servette FC has a 34.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.88 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Friendlies Clubs