Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Southend
Northampton
Southend
L
W
L
W
W
D
Northampton
L
L
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | Southend | 3 - 1 | January 6, 2018 |
| Southend | Northampton | 2 - 2 | September 16, 2017 |
| Southend | Northampton | 2 - 2 | February 18, 2017 |
| Northampton | Southend | 4 - 0 | September 24, 2016 |
| Northampton | Southend | 1 - 1 | January 3, 2015 |
| Southend | Northampton | 2 - 0 | November 29, 2014 |
Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 26 | Away | Scunthorpe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 21, 26 | Away | Hartlepool | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | FC Halifax Town | 2 - 6 | Win |
| Apr 14, 26 | Away | Aldershot Town | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Solihull Moors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 26 | Home | Plymouth | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 28, 26 | Home | Barnsley | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Doncaster | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 15, 26 | Away | Luton | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 6, 26 | Home | Wigan | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Southend to win
This prediction indicates that Southend has a 63.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.67 %Most Likely Scorelines
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