Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
D
W
D
L
D
D
Chicago Fire
W
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Chicago Fire | Toronto FC | 2 - 2 | October 5, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | Chicago Fire | 1 - 2 | March 15, 2025 |
| Chicago Fire | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | September 29, 2024 |
| Toronto FC | Chicago Fire | 1 - 4 | June 15, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | Toronto FC | 1 - 0 | July 16, 2023 |
Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | New England Revolution | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | DC United | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | CF Montreal | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Atlanta United II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Orlando City II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Toronto II | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 2 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 35 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.43% likelihood that both Toronto FC and Chicago Fire will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Toronto FC or Chicago Fire to win
This prediction indicates that Chicago Fire has a 39.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.90 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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