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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC logo Toronto FC
Aug. 30, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
New York City FC logo New York City FC

Match Analysis

Toronto FC New York City FC
Toronto FC D L D D L L
New York City FC D W W L D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
New York City FC Toronto FC 1 - 1 July 31, 2026
New York City FC Toronto FC 3 - 1 July 3, 2025
Toronto FC New York City FC 0 - 1 April 26, 2025
Toronto FC New York City FC 2 - 3 May 11, 2024
New York City FC Toronto FC 2 - 1 March 16, 2024
New York City FC Toronto FC 3 - 0 September 24, 2023

Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Away New York City FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away DC United 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away New England Revolution 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 16, 26 Away CF Montreal 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Charlotte 3 - 1 Loss

New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Toronto FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Win
Jul 22, 26 Away Columbus Crew 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Away Nashville SC 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away New York Red Bulls 1 - 1 Draw
May 13, 26 Away Charlotte 0 - 1 Win

Major League Soccer Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 31 24 +7 26
25 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 24 32 -8 17

Predictions

New York City FC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 36.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.97 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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