União Santarém vs Academica Friday 31st July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

União Santarém Academica

União Santarém D L D D D L

Academica L W W D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
União Santarém	Academica	1 - 1	April 26, 2026
Academica	União Santarém	3 - 1	February 28, 2026
União Santarém	Academica	1 - 1	November 29, 2025
Academica	União Santarém	1 - 0	August 17, 2025
Academica	União Santarém	0 - 4	May 4, 2025
União Santarém	Academica	0 - 0	February 15, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Varzim	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Amarante	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	CF Os Belenenses	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Academica	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Guimaraes B	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Trofense	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Torreense	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Maritimo	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Trofense	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Mafra	3 - 3	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Varzim	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	União Santarém	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Academica has a 36.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.40 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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