Vaprus vs Trans Narva Saturday 10th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Meistriliiga

View league ›

Vaprus View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 3 days, 17 hours ago

2 – 2

Full Time

Trans Narva View team ›

Match Analysis

Vaprus Trans Narva

Vaprus L L L W W D

Trans Narva D L D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Vaprus has been in moderate recent form, while Trans Narva has struggled lately. However, Trans Narva has a history of dominating recent meetings against Vaprus and has shown defensive weaknesses in their recent games. The model predicts a 40% chance of an away win for Trans Narva, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring and the match featuring more than 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's view on these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Trans Narva	Vaprus	3 - 1	July 18, 2026
Vaprus	Trans Narva	2 - 0	May 9, 2026
Trans Narva	Vaprus	2 - 1	March 21, 2026
Vaprus	Trans Narva	0 - 2	February 15, 2026
Trans Narva	Vaprus	1 - 1	October 18, 2025
Vaprus	Trans Narva	0 - 0	July 12, 2025

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Flora Tallinn	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 16, 26	Away	Paide	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 9, 26	Home	Laagri	3 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Nõmme United	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Kuressaare	2 - 2	Draw

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Kalju Nomme	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Kuressaare	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Tammeka	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	4 - 0	Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Vaprus	29	12	4	13	45	51	-6	40
10	Trans Narva	29	5	4	20	22	65	-43	19

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that both Vaprus and Trans Narva will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Vaprus or Trans Narva to win

This prediction indicates that Trans Narva has a 39.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.13 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Meistriliiga

Paide vs Tammeka 11 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Trans Narva vs Kuressaare 8 hours from now · 4 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Meistriliiga Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Vaprus or Trans Narva to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

Meistriliiga

Trending

Latest transfers

From the blog