Bristol City vs Newport County Tuesday 21st July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Bristol City Newport County

Bristol City L W L D L D

Newport County L W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bristol City	Newport County	1 - 0	July 22, 2025
Bristol City	Newport County	2 - 0	July 23, 2024
Bristol City	Newport County	8 - 0	July 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Stockport County	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Stoke City	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Birmingham	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	Southampton	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Norwich	2 - 4	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	QPR	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Gloucester City	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Newport City	0 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Bristol Manor Farm	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Barrow	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Oldham	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Cheltenham	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Bristol City has a 66.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.03 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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