FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus Tuesday 21st July 2026 07:00 AM football predictions.

FC Tokyo Nagoya Grampus

FC Tokyo L D L D W L

Nagoya Grampus D D L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nagoya Grampus	FC Tokyo	1 - 1	August 31, 2025
FC Tokyo	Nagoya Grampus	3 - 1	February 26, 2025
FC Tokyo	Nagoya Grampus	4 - 1	September 14, 2024
Nagoya Grampus	FC Tokyo	3 - 1	May 15, 2024
FC Tokyo	Nagoya Grampus	2 - 0	June 24, 2023
Nagoya Grampus	FC Tokyo	0 - 0	March 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Kashima	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Urawa	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Tokyo Verdy	2 - 1	Win
May 6, 26	Home	JEF United Chiba	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Machida Zelvia	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Machida Zelvia	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	6 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Win

This prediction indicates that FC Tokyo has a 49.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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