Briton Ferry vs Merthyr Town Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Briton Ferry Merthyr Town

Briton Ferry W W L D W W

Merthyr Town W L L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Briton Ferry	Merthyr Town	1 - 2	July 18, 2025

Briton Ferry Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 18, 26	Away	Bala Town	1 - 2	Win
Apr 3, 26	Home	Cardiff MET	3 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 21, 26	Home	Flint Town United	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 16, 26	Away	Cardiff MET	0 - 2	Win
Mar 13, 26	Away	llanelli AFC	0 - 2	Win

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Cambrian & Clydach	4 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	AFC Fylde	2 - 4	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Marine	1 - 3	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Macclesfield	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Hereford	3 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that both Briton Ferry and Merthyr Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Briton Ferry to win

This prediction indicates that Briton Ferry has a 47.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.65 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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