Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk Sunday 26th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bursaspor Shakhtar Donetsk

Bursaspor W W W W D W

Shakhtar Donetsk L W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Bursaspor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aliağa FAŞ	0 - 5	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Somaspor	5 - 1	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Ankara Demirspor	0 - 1	Win
Apr 4, 26	Home	Mardin BB	2 - 0	Win
Mar 28, 26	Away	Fethiyespor	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 24, 26	Home	Belediye Derincespor	2 - 0	Win

Shakhtar Donetsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 21, 26	Home	Kolos Kovalivka	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Kryvbas KR	2 - 3	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Obolon'-Brovar	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	SK Poltava	0 - 4	Win
May 7, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Dynamo Kyiv	1 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.51% likelihood that both Bursaspor and Shakhtar Donetsk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Shakhtar Donetsk to win

This prediction indicates that Shakhtar Donetsk has a 56.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.19 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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