Parceiro Nagano vs Iwaki Sunday 12th July 2026 10:00 AM football predictions.

Parceiro Nagano Iwaki

Parceiro Nagano D D D W L L

Iwaki L D D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Iwaki	Parceiro Nagano	1 - 0	April 19, 2026
Parceiro Nagano	Iwaki	1 - 3	March 21, 2026
Iwaki	Parceiro Nagano	1 - 0	September 3, 2022
Parceiro Nagano	Iwaki	0 - 4	April 10, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Kamatamare Sanuki	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Tochigi SC	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Ventforet Kofu	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Omiya Ardija	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	FC Gifu	2 - 3	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Tokushima Vortis	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Shonan Bellmare	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Fujieda MYFC	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Matsumoto Yamaga	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Ventforet Kofu	0 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Omiya Ardija	3 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Iwaki has a 48.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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