Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik Wednesday 14th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

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Chertanovo Moscow View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Tekstilshchik View team ›

Match Analysis

Chertanovo Moscow Tekstilshchik

Chertanovo Moscow D W L L L L

Tekstilshchik L L L D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Despite Tekstilshchik having a modest quality edge, the model predicts Chertanovo Moscow to win with a 40% probability. Both teams are in poor recent form, and past meetings between them have usually been tight and low-scoring, though Tekstilshchik have had defensive issues lately. The model also believes there's a good chance both teams will score and that the game will have more than 1.5 goals, but expects fewer than 2.5 goals overall. The market odds show slightly more confidence in Tekstilshchik than the model does, and are less confident about an over 1.5 goals outcome compared to the model.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tekstilshchik	Chertanovo Moscow	1 - 0	February 27, 2021
Chertanovo Moscow	Tekstilshchik	0 - 1	September 5, 2020
Chertanovo Moscow	Tekstilshchik	1 - 0	October 23, 2019

Chertanovo Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 26, 26	Away	KDV	2 - 4	Win
Aug 12, 26	Away	Chita	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 20, 25	Away	Volgar Astrakhan	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 25, 25	Home	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 24	Away	Chelyabinsk	1 - 0	Loss

Tekstilshchik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	FC Orenburg	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 17, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Leningradets	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	1 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 4	Loss

Predictions

Chertanovo Moscow or Tekstilshchik to win

This prediction indicates that Chertanovo Moscow has a 39.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.24 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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