Volga Ulyanovsk vs Murom Wednesday 14th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

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Volga Ulyanovsk View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 10 hours from now VS

Murom View team ›

Match Analysis

Volga Ulyanovsk Murom

Volga Ulyanovsk D W L L D D

Murom W W D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Volga Ulyanovsk's poor recent form contrasts with Murom's strong recent form and notable rest advantage. Despite Volga Ulyanovsk creating more shooting chances recently, the model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a 50% chance that both teams will score and a 48% chance that the match will finish with under 1.5 goals, suggesting a relatively low-scoring contest but with room for both sides to find the net.

Volga Ulyanovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Rotor Volgograd	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 4, 26	Away	Veles	1 - 2	Win
Sep 26, 26	Home	Leningradets	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	FC UFA	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Away	Volgar Astrakhan	0 - 0	Draw

Murom Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Home	Veles	1 - 0	Win
Aug 27, 26	Away	2Drots	0 - 3	Win
Aug 12, 26	Home	Metallurg Lipetsk	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 7, 26	Away	Spartak Nalchik	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 20, 25	Home	Kristall MEZ	3 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 24	Home	Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Volga Ulyanovsk to win

This prediction indicates that Volga Ulyanovsk has a 45.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.57 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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