Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Wednesday 14th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

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Nizhny Novgorod View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 12 hours from now VS

Shinnik Yaroslavl View team ›

Match Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl

Nizhny Novgorod W W W W W W

Shinnik Yaroslavl W D L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Nizhny Novgorod with a 51% probability. Nizhny Novgorod has a modest quality edge, strong recent form, and has dominated recent meetings with plenty of goals scored. The market odds (Home 1.60) suggest a similar level of confidence in the home side, so the model's view aligns closely with what the odds imply. The model also sees a 50% chance that both teams will score, which is slightly more optimistic than the market odds suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3 - 0	August 2, 2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 1	February 12, 2023
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 3	March 14, 2021
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	3 - 0	September 19, 2020
Shinnik Yaroslavl	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 3	November 3, 2019
Nizhny Novgorod	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	October 30, 2019

Nizhny Novgorod Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Enisey	5 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 3	Win
Sep 17, 26	Home	Leningradets	6 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 2	Win
Sep 9, 26	Away	Dinamo Stavropol	1 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	0 - 1	Win

Shinnik Yaroslavl Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	2 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 18, 26	Home	KAMAZ	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 14, 26	Away	Ural	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 10, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Nizhny Novgorod to win

This prediction indicates that Nizhny Novgorod has a 50.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.26 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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