Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika Wednesday 14th October 2026 04:15 PM football predictions.

Cup

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Krylia Sovetov View team ›

Oct. 14, 2026 9 hours from now VS

Baltika View team ›

Match Analysis

Krylia Sovetov Baltika

Krylia Sovetov D W D W D D

Baltika D L D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Baltika has had the upper hand in matchups against Krylia Sovetov, often keeping the games tight with few goals. Despite Baltika's recent poor form, the model sees their clear quality advantage as a key factor and predicts they'll win about 39% of the time—a view that is less confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also thinks there's a good chance both teams will score and that the game will have more than 1.5 goals, but expects it to fall short of 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Baltika	Krylia Sovetov	0 - 0	September 2, 2026
Krylia Sovetov	Baltika	0 - 2	August 8, 2026
Krylia Sovetov	Baltika	0 - 1	February 22, 2026
Baltika	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	December 7, 2025
Krylia Sovetov	Baltika	1 - 1	August 9, 2025
Baltika	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 1	April 20, 2024

Krylia Sovetov Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Spartak Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 2, 26	Home	Akron	4 - 0	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 11, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	2 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Away	Baltika	0 - 0	Draw

Baltika Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	Akhmat	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 16, 26	Home	Zenit	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Fakel	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Home	Lokomotiv	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 2, 26	Home	Krylia Sovetov	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Away	Rodina Moskva	0 - 3	Win

Predictions

Krylia Sovetov or Baltika to win

This prediction indicates that Baltika has a 38.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.14 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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