De Graafschap vs Al-Jazira Sunday 26th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

De Graafschap Al-Jazira

De Graafschap L W D L L L

Al-Jazira W L L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

De Graafschap Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Heerenveen	7 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Utrecht	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Almere City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Almere City FC	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Emmen	1 - 0	Loss

Al-Jazira Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Win
Jul 27, 25	Away	Almeria	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 24	Away	Malaga	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Cadiz	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 23	Away	Buchbach	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 22	Away	Jong PSV	1 - 2	Win

Predictions

De Graafschap to win

This prediction indicates that De Graafschap has a 45.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.65 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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