Falkirk vs Stranraer Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Falkirk Stranraer

Falkirk W L L L W L

Stranraer D W D W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Falkirk	Stranraer	1 - 0	June 28, 2022
Stranraer	Falkirk	1 - 1	February 1, 2020
Falkirk	Stranraer	3 - 0	November 30, 2019
Stranraer	Falkirk	0 - 3	September 21, 2019
Falkirk	Stranraer	1 - 0	July 16, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Airdrie United	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Rangers	2 - 5	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Heart Of Midlothian	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Hibernian	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Motherwell	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Morton	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Larne	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Elgin City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	0 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that Falkirk has a 66.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.96 %

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