FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Sunday 11th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 11, 2026 2 days, 17 hours ago
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Match Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn D L W W W W
Paide W W L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, FC Levadia Tallinn have dominated their meetings with Paide, and these encounters have usually been high-scoring. The model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, which aligns closely with the market’s view since the odds also favor Levadia. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of more than one goal being scored (70% probability), agreeing with the market’s strong inclination toward ‘over’ on this market. Both teams are also expected to score, reflecting Levadia's recent attacking strength and the open nature of past games between these sides.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 2 September 6, 2026
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 3 May 17, 2026
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 2 - 2 March 22, 2026
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 1 - 2 October 22, 2025
Paide FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 3 July 4, 2025
FC Levadia Tallinn Paide 2 - 1 May 11, 2025

FC Levadia Tallinn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Away Trans Narva 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 17, 26 Away Tammeka 6 - 0 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Home Vaprus 4 - 0 Win
Sep 9, 26 Home Kuressaare 4 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away Paide 0 - 2 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 2 - 3 Win

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Nõmme United 1 - 3 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Vaprus 2 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 9, 26 Away Tammeka 0 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn 29 18 6 5 68 34 +34 60
4 Paide 29 15 6 8 48 36 +12 51

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.09% likelihood that both FC Levadia Tallinn and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC Levadia Tallinn to win
This prediction indicates that FC Levadia Tallinn has a 66.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.17 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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