Frosinone vs Ascoli Sunday 26th July 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Frosinone Ascoli

Frosinone W W W W D W

Ascoli W D L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Frosinone	Ascoli	2 - 0	April 10, 2023
Ascoli	Frosinone	0 - 1	November 11, 2022
Ascoli	Frosinone	1 - 1	March 6, 2022
Frosinone	Ascoli	2 - 1	October 23, 2021
Ascoli	Frosinone	1 - 1	February 9, 2021
Frosinone	Ascoli	1 - 0	October 17, 2020

Frosinone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Home	Mantova	5 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Juve Stabia	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Carrarese	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Modena	1 - 2	Win
Apr 10, 26	Home	Palermo	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 5, 26	Home	Padova	2 - 0	Win

Ascoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Union Brescia	3 - 0	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Union Brescia	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Away	Catania	2 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Catania	4 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Potenza	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Potenza	0 - 0	Draw

Predictions

Frosinone to win

This prediction indicates that Frosinone has a 57.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.51 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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